Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.016766 0.018499 0.020248 0.022142 0.024130 0.026152 0.028357
2025-07-06 0.012819 0.015401 0.018122 0.021184 0.024512 0.028002 0.031921
2025-07-13 0.011217 0.014298 0.017642 0.021497 0.025778 0.030350 0.035567
2025-07-20 0.009684 0.013076 0.016861 0.021323 0.026372 0.031847 0.038178
2025-07-27 0.008449 0.012058 0.016192 0.021165 0.026884 0.033169 0.040517
2025-08-03 0.007868 0.011744 0.016277 0.021816 0.028264 0.035419 0.043851
2025-08-10 0.006905 0.010882 0.015649 0.021578 0.028576 0.036425 0.045756
2025-08-17 0.006038 0.010068 0.015021 0.021288 0.028784 0.037276 0.047451
2025-08-24 0.005329 0.009399 0.014523 0.021115 0.029095 0.038216 0.049225
2025-08-31 0.004670 0.008741 0.013998 0.020872 0.029293 0.039002 0.050799
2025-09-07 0.004143 0.008222 0.013615 0.020777 0.029645 0.039949 0.052545
2025-09-14 0.003539 0.007540 0.012983 0.020338 0.029554 0.040356 0.053645
2025-09-21 0.002867 0.006731 0.012188 0.019726 0.029312 0.040664 0.054740
2025-09-28 0.002180 0.005816 0.011200 0.018838 0.028719 0.040558 0.055365
2025-10-05 0.001926 0.005572 0.011128 0.019130 0.029582 0.042186 0.058026
2025-10-12 0.001585 0.005126 0.010733 0.018967 0.029852 0.043084 0.059809
2025-10-19 0.001292 0.004720 0.010366 0.018818 0.030124 0.043970 0.061567
2025-10-26 0.001198 0.004685 0.010553 0.019429 0.031370 0.046053 0.064763
2025-11-02 0.000949 0.004289 0.010156 0.019206 0.031522 0.046775 0.066312
2025-11-09 0.000729 0.003899 0.009739 0.018934 0.031594 0.047386 0.067718
2025-11-16 0.000559 0.003579 0.009411 0.018772 0.031797 0.048152 0.069304
2025-11-23 0.000409 0.003256 0.009051 0.018544 0.031900 0.048783 0.070718
2025-11-30 0.000301 0.003005 0.008795 0.018455 0.032179 0.049629 0.072391